Market Briefing: Global markets retreated from highs on risk aversion mood

Avatar photo

Vrasidas Neofytou
Head of Investment Research

See all articles

Global financial markets retreated from their recent highs during Tuesday’s trading session as the weaker German and French Trade Balances removed the risk appetite from the market. The US dollar and other safety assets recovered from multi-months lows, while crude oil extended yesterday’s losses.


Coronavirus Update:

Global cases: More than 7 million
Global deaths: At least 404,413
U.S. cases: More than 1.96 million
U.S. deaths: At least 110,990


Market Reaction:

US futures fell 1% on Tuesday’s early US trading session, on a general risk aversion sentiment driven by weaker European economic data and profit taking.

Fig.01: S&P 500 index, Daily chart

The losses in the futures market are coming after US stock markets climbed to multi-month highs on Monday on rising optimism about the prospects of a global economic recovery from the pandemic. The S&P 500 index returned to positive territory for the year supported from Friday’s strong US job report.


Crude oil:

Crude oil fell 2% on Tuesday for a second day in row, after Saudi Arabia, UAE and Kuwait said they would not extend the additional output cuts of 1.2 million barrels per day on top of the planned OPEC+ cuts in July.

Fig.02 WTI crude oil, 2-hour chart

The WTI crude price fell at $37.30 per barrel while Brent trades at $40, almost 7% lower from their 3-months highs.


Forex Market:

Growth-related Australian and New Zealand dollars retreated on Tuesday from their monthly highs amid risk-off mood and profit taking actions.

Fig.03: AUD/USD pair, 2-hour chart

The Australian dollar climbed to a 10-week high at 0.702 against the US dollar on improved Chinese economic data and rising commodity prices, before retreating at the 0.69 level.

The New Zealand dollar hit 5-month highs of 0.66 since the country ended all social restrictions as it declared the nation Coronavirus free.

The DXY-US dollar’s index trades near the 97 level, bouncing off its 3-month lows of 96.50, gaining some support from the safety flows amid sell-off in riskier currencies and the stock market.

Fig.04, DXY-US dollar’s index, 2-hour chart

The US dollar was pushed to levels we haven’t seen since early March, as the dovish policies of the Federal Reserve, the strong NFP report, the ongoing rally in the stock markets and the violent protests in major US cities, weighed on the demand for the greenback.


Economic Calendar for June 09, 2020 (GMT+ 3:00):

Important Information: This communication is marketing material. The views and opinions contained herein are those of the author(s) on this page, and may not necessarily represent views expressed or reflected in other Exclusive Capital communications, strategies or funds. This material is intended to be for information purposes only and is not intended as promotional material in any respect. The material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

Read our detailed Marketing Communication Disclaimer

SHARE

CONNECT WITH OUR TEAM

Explore the ways in which we can help you achieve your investment goals.

OUR PARTNERS
bdo

EXTERNAL AUDITOR

ey

LEGAL ADVISOR

lgt

CUSTODIAN BANK

efg

APPROVED PARTNER

Raiffeisen

DEPOSITORY BANK

Prime Fund

GROUP MEMBER